Auckland City vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUC
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 3
AUC
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
5 - 2
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAN
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
WAI
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |