Auckland City vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
2 - 0
HEK
92%
6%
2%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
4 - 2
TEA
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 4
AUC
8%
15%
77%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 5
AUC
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 4
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |