Auckland City vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TEF
1 - 1
AUC
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
HAW
2 - 2
AUC
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AUC
0 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AUC
1 - 3
WAI
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
OTA
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 4
WAI
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 0
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
HAW
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |