Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 0
AUC
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
EAS
0 - 2
AUC
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 0
SOA
94%
5%
1%
|
77 | 23 | 54 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
VEN
0 - 1
AUC
6%
12%
82%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 1
HAW
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 3
HAW
68%
17%
14%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
WAI
5 - 2
HAW
58%
20%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EAS
4 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
3 - 4
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |