Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
TAS
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 3
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 2
TEA
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TEA
0 - 0
AUC
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 0
SOL
81%
13%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 2
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EAS
5 - 0
HAW
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 3
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
WAI
1 - 2
HAW
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |