Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
6 - 0
HAW
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
WAI
0 - 5
AUC
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
AUC
24%
27%
50%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
HAW
23%
24%
52%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 2
HAW
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
HAW
1 - 1
TEA
42%
23%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
HAW
0 - 1
HAW
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
HAW
0 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |