Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
AUC
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AUC
2 - 1
AMI
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 1
AUC
7%
14%
79%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIR
2 - 1
AUC
9%
14%
77%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
PIR
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TEA
1 - 0
HAW
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
34%
25%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAW
47%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |