Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
7 - 3
KOL
92%
6%
2%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
AUC
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 3
AUC
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 1
WAI
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
AUC
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
OTA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 3
AUC
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
7 - 0
HAW
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
HAW
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |