Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
TPM
2 - 3
AUC
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
AUC
0 - 3
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AHD
0 - 2
AUC
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
WAI
55%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 2
WAI
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
HAW
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 2
TEA
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |