Auckland City vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUC
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 0
OTA
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 2
WAI
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
HAW
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HAW
2 - 2
WAI
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |