Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
21%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TAS
1 - 3
AUC
16%
27%
57%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
16%
25%
60%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 4
EAS
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 6
EAS
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 4
EAS
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 0
TAS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |