Auckland City vs East Coast Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
22
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CMB
1 - 4
AUC
8%
13%
79%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TCU
0 - 5
AUC
35%
23%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
AUC
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
ECB
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
BAO
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
ECB
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 2
EAS
19%
18%
63%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ECB
2 - 0
MEL
56%
19%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |