Auckland City vs Birkenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
43
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
ECB
82%
12%
7%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CMB
1 - 4
AUC
8%
13%
79%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TCU
0 - 5
AUC
35%
23%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
AUC
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
47%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WES
3 - 3
BIR
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 0
MEL
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 5
BIR
12%
15%
74%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 4
BIR
68%
17%
14%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |