OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 7-1
Auckland City vs Ba FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUC
0 - 1
WAI
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 3
DRA
94%
5%
2%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUC
12 - 2
AMD
93%
5%
2%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAF
2 - 0
AMI
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
1 - 2
BAF
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SUV
1 - 5
BAF
37%
25%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BAF
5 - 0
SOL
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAF
2 - 0
HEK
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |