Auch Football vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
60.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auch Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
AUC
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUC
0 - 0
LES
23%
23%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
TOU
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 1
SAG
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 3
TOU
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |