Auch Football vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auch Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 3
AUC
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AUC
2 - 3
TOU
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
AUC
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUC
0 - 0
23%
23%
53%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
BER
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
NIM
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 1
BER
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +2 |