Auch Football vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auch Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 1
NAR
32%
26%
43%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 3
AUC
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
38%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NIM
2 - 4
AUC
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 1
SAI
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAI
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
IST
14%
21%
66%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |