Aucas vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
OLM
1 - 4
AUC
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 2
AUC
40%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
OCT
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 0
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 2
CUE
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
EME
2 - 2
UCE
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 3
IVT
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |