Aucas vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 3
AUC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 2
EME
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MUS
1 - 0
AUC
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 1
AUC
33%
29%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
TEC
1 - 2
UCE
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 1
UCE
17%
23%
61%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 2
CUE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |