Aucas vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 4
IVT
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 2
AUC
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 3
EME
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
AUC
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LDU
3 - 2
AUC
26%
25%
50%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 1
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 3
BSC
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CUE
3 - 0
RIV
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
BSC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |