Aucas vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
EME
3 - 0
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
LOJ
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
AUC
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
AUC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIG
36%
30%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 4
EME
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 0
RIV
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
BSC
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |