Aucas vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
AUC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
UCE
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 5
AUC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 2
BSC
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUC
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
BSC
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
RIV
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
CUE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |