Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
TEC
2 - 0
AUC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 1
VEL
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AUC
1 - 2
DEL
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
AUC
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
AUC
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EME
6 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 4
OLM
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 0
MUS
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |