Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
IMB
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLM
3 - 0
AUC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
3 - 1
AME
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 1
LDU
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 0
MUS
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
MUS
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |