Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 1
AUC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 1
AUC
43%
30%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 1
UCE
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 0
MUS
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 3
EME
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
MUS
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
MUS
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |