Aucas vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
IMB
3 - 1
AUC
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 3
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 1
AUC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
LDU
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 0
AUC
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
TEC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
COL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 3
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 0
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |