Aucas vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 3
TEC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
LOJ
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IMB
0 - 1
AME
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
0 - 1
IMB
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 0
LDU
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SSR
2 - 0
IMB
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 0
GUA
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |