Aucas vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 2
AUC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AUC
5 - 2
TEC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
EME
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEL
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
UCE
19%
25%
57%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
4 - 1
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |