Aucas vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 4
AUC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 1
TEC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
DEL
2 - 2
AUC
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 1
LDU
62%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OLM
3 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
EME
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
EME
1 - 0
ORE
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
UCE
4 - 1
EME
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |