Aucas vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MUS
1 - 0
AUC
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 1
AUC
33%
29%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 3
LIG
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
EME
3 - 0
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 2
EME
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
EME
0 - 0
LIG
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |