Aucas vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 0
AUC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
BSC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 0
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
UCE
37%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |