Aucas vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 2
AUC
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
AUC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 2
AUC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 0
CUE
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BSC
1 - 2
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 2
AUC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
QUI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
LOJ
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |