Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DEL
4 - 2
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 1
UCE
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 3
AUC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
CUE
4 - 3
TEC
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
44%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CUE
2 - 0
AME
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 0
EME
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |