Aucas vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
AUC
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
11%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LOJ
3 - 2
AUC
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
TEC
1 - 1
AUC
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
AUC
3 - 1
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 1
OLM
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
LOJ
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LOJ
3 - 2
AUC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
LOJ
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LOJ
4 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |