Aucas vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
AUC
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
AUC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
UCE
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 5
AUC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 0
RIV
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
LOJ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 3
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EME
4 - 0
LOJ
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 5
AUC
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |