Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
14º
16º
14º
13
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 24 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 16 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 16 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TEC
2 - 0
AUC
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 0
AUC
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LCF
1 - 5
AUC
3%
9%
88%
|
79 | 7 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
IVT
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 2
IVT
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 2
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |