Aucas vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TEC
2 - 0
AUC
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 0
AUC
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
DEL
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CAL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCE
1 - 2
CAL
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
MUS
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |