Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
AUC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 4
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
TEC
0 - 3
BSC
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MUS
3 - 4
TEC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 0
LOJ
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TEC
1 - 2
DEL
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 1
TEC
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |