Aucas vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TEC
3 - 0
AUC
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
RIV
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 2
AUC
26%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
EME
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |