Aucas vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 3
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 2
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
QUI
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
CUE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BSC
3 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |