Aucas vs Colón FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLM
3 - 0
AUC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 2
TEC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
0 - 1
LOJ
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
AUC
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 3
AUC
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
AME
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOJ
0 - 0
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
SSR
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 3
COL
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
OLM
37%
28%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |