Primera A Finals Final
Global 1-0
Aucas vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 1
AUC
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
AUC
3 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 2
AUC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 1
AUC
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
BSC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 2
AUC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CUE
2 - 1
BSC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |