Primera A Finals Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Aucas vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 2
AUC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
AUC
4 - 2
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
IVT
4 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
OLM
1 - 2
BSC
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
DEL
3 - 0
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 1
TEC
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 3
EME
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
BSC
4 - 1
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |