Aucas vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
AUC
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
AUC
2 - 2
DEL
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EME
4 - 0
AUC
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
BSC
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 1
MUS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BSC
5 - 0
EME
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
BSC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |