Aucas vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
AUC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 2
LIG
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
EME
3 - 0
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
LOJ
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
RIV
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 2
BSC
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 0
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |