Aucas vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUC
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CUE
0 - 2
AUC
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 3
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
BSC
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
EME
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CUE
3 - 2
BSC
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
BSC
56%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIG
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |