Aucas vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 3
OLM
69%
18%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
3 - 0
AUC
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 3
AUC
33%
24%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 3
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 3
DEL
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 4
OPE
72%
20%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATP
10%
22%
68%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
ATP
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 0
SPO
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |