Unirea Constanța vs Progresul Spartac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
12º
13º
27
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 14 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 13 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 11 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 10 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 10 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 9 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 8 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 7 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 7 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 5 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 3 |
12º
|
69% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 3 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 74% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unirea Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ACS
7 - 2
AUC
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 2
ASC
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 3
SEL
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BSR
5 - 2
AUC
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
DBU
6 - 0
AUC
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Progresul Spartac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PSB
1 - 4
BSR
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
PSB
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PSB
0 - 0
ASC
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
2 - 2
PSB
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PSB
0 - 0
CSS
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |