Aubstadt vs SV Wacker Burghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
11º
19
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
AUB
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
3 - 1
AUB
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 3
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SV Wacker Burghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
WAC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
WUR
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 4
WAC
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
WAC
0 - 1
BAY
25%
24%
50%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |