Aubstadt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
11º
8
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
AUB
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 1
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 1
WAC
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
AUB
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 0
AUG
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 1
VIK
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |